Pentanemos update
From: Andrew Jones [mailto: Mae'r cyfeiriad ebost yn cael ei warchod rhag spam bots, rhaid i chi alluogi Javascript i'w weld. ]
Sent: 25 November 2009 18:01
To: Diane Jones; Lucy Davidson; Lyn Davidson; Mae'r cyfeiriad ebost yn cael ei warchod rhag spam bots, rhaid i chi alluogi Javascript i'w weld. ; Mae'r cyfeiriad ebost yn cael ei warchod rhag spam bots, rhaid i chi alluogi Javascript i'w weld. ; Roy Boydon; Sandy McLean; Simon Preston; Tony Boydon
Subject: 091125 update and weather forecast
 
Note on Blog
 
It would appear that they are pushing hard. They had some gear damage to a winch and a couple of lines have broken during the night due to chaffing. They had to take the spinny down and re-hoist during the night. Jon says they are having a few hours without the spinnaker so that they can all get a bit more rest. I wonder how long that will last?
 
  
 Hi Jon, Neil and Will
 
Comment on forecast
 
The wind does look as if it will behave as forecasted over the last few days and stay slightly windier to the west. I recommend moving WPT1 to 20N 28W and WPT2 to 16N 34W. This will keep you in the stronger forecast winds and cut the corner a little.
 
This forecast is based on your latest avg speed and the new waypoints
 
            Wed 25/11  
            Forecast - All Noon Times    
                  Wind( kn)   Swell (feet)
Wed   25/11/2009 ENE 17      NE7
Thu   26/11/2009 NE 21       NE7
Fri   27/11/2009 NE 18       N7
Sat   28/11/2009 NE16       NNE7
Sun   29/11/2009 NE17       NE7
Mon   30/11/2009 NE18       NE7
Tue   01/12/2009 ENE19       NE7
Wed   02/12/2009 ENE18       NE7-9
........................................................................
 
These stats are based on the last two days as I didn't get your noon position on Tue 24th
 
Date                                      25/11/2009 12:00
Avg speed since last Posn kts             6.65
Overall avg speed since Las Palmas kts    6.41
Distance since last position nm           319
Total distance from Las Palmas            455
avg 24 hr run since Las Palmas nm         154
To go to St Lucia(Approx) nm              2,410
% Sailed                                  15.9%
Estimated days for total trip             18.6
Estimated time of arrival                 11/12/2009 04:03
 
Bear in mind that you are getting some push from the current (maybe 0.5 knot) these figures are quite impressive as your theoretical max speed with a waterline length of 24 feet is 6.56 Knots i.e. your avg speed over the last two days has been only 0.4 knot less than max.
 
.........................................................................
 
Positions noon 25th
                                          Pos rel to Pent   Direct Dist to go
Pent        N 23° 16' 0"      W 21° 37' 0"                  2296
D4E         N 23° 51' 0"      W 22° 9' 0" NW                2271
Cantata     N 25° 1' 0"       W 20° 24' 0"NNE               2352
Starfire    23.35N            20.22W      NE                2366
 
Starfire's position 21.00hrs tue 23rd
 
You are 2nd in Group H. Marinara, a Swan 40, is 40 miles ahead on the same track as you with 2281 to St Lucia
 
I am pleased to see that you are not letting your competitive nature take over ..... NOT
 
Note to “home crew” the direct distance to go is based on them taking the shortest route to St Lucia. The route they will take will be longer by about 150 miles but is aimed at keeping them in the stronger, more consistent winds.
 
Andrew